August 23, 2017 • No Comments • Local News

…TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT…

A Tropical Storm Watch means Tropical storm wind conditions are
possible somewhere within this area and within the next 48 hours

• LOCATIONS AFFECTED

• Cuero

• WIND

• LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
• Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 55 mph

• Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Friday afternoon
  until Saturday afternoon

• CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Moderate

• Emergency planning should include a reasonable threat for
  strong tropical storm force wind of 58 to 73 mph.
• To be safe, earnestly prepare for the potential of
  significant wind impacts. Efforts should now be underway to
  secure all properties.

• Dangerous wind is possible. Failure to adequately shelter
  may result in injury.

• POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

• Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with
  damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few
  buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door
  failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.
  Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.
• Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
  numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
  fences and roadway signs blown over.
• Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
  urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,
  and access routes impassable.

• Scattered power and communications outages, but more
  prevalent in areas with above ground lines.

• FLOODING RAIN

• LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

• Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher
  amounts

• CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated

• Emergency planning should include a reasonable threat for
  minor flooding where peak rainfall totals are near amounts
  conducive for localized flash flooding and rapid inundation.
• To be safe, prepare for the potential of limited flooding
  rain impacts.

• Localized flooding is possible. If flood related watches
  and warnings are issued, heed recommended actions.

• POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

• Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
• Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter
  currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
  ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots.

• Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in
  usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding
  of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor
  drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds
  become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and
  bridge closures.

• TORNADO

• LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

• Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

• CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: None

• Emergency planning need not include a threat for tornadoes.
  Showers and thunderstorms with strong gusty winds may still
  occur.
• Little to no preparations needed to guard against tropical
  tornadoes.

• Ensure readiness for the next tropical tornado event.

• POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

• Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

August 22, 2017 • No Comments • Local News

Good afternoon,

Overview:

This update is to serve as situational awareness on the remnants of what was Tropical Storm Harvey, currently over the Yucatan Peninsula.

Satellite imagery this afternoon indicates an area of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula, associated with the remnants of Harvey, has become better defined. Environmental conditions are conducive for development when the system moves over the Bay of Campeche tonight. Conditions will remain favorable for a tropical depression to form in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday or Thursday. Confidence is increasing that the system will impact Texas Friday into the weekend.

There remains considerable uncertainty on exactly where the system could impact along the Texas coast and locations inland. As such it is too soon to determine exact impacts in South Central Texas as they will be highly dependent on the eventual track and intensity of the system.

Currently between 2-6” of rain is expected inland along and east of I-35, with isolated higher amounts, Friday through the weekend. Lesser amounts are expected west of I-35. It should be stressed that there is the potential for much higher amounts across South Central Texas if the center of system ends up tracking into the Mid or Lower Texas Coast and much lower amounts if the center of the system tracks toward the Upper Texas Coast. These rainfall forecast amounts are likely to change.

There is the potential for Tropical Storm Force winds inland Friday into Saturday east of I-35. However it is too soon to determine exact wind impacts.

A continued word of caution, there are snapshots of weather model output such as rainfall amounts and forecast tracks on social media for this weekend. It is extremely important that you not focus on any one particular model run this far out as these models will have drastic swings from run to run on tracks and rainfall amounts.

At this time we urge you to remain closely aware of the changes to the forecast over the next 24-48 hours by monitoring the National Hurricane Center (www.hurricanes.gov) and your local forecast (www.weather.gov/sanantonio). We expect greater detail and confidence in the forecast tomorrow.

Sincerely,

Jason Runyen & Jared Allen
NWS Austin / San Antonio
Weather Forecast Office

June 8, 2017 • No Comments • Local News

Fair skies and temperatures within a few degrees of early to mid-June normals are expected across South Central Texas for the next several days. There are low chances of showers and thunderstorms for the Highway 281 corridor and Val Verde County areas on Friday, and then for areas along and east of I-35 including the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads area Sunday through Tuesday.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy. Highs around 90. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Saturday: Partly cloudy. Highs around 90. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

Monday: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

Tuesday Night And Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.

Heading to the beach this summer? Don’t get caught in the rip! Learn more about rip current safety and how to avoid them at www.ripcurrents.noaa.gov

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
Issued by National Weather Service HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1124 AM CDT Thu Jun 8 2017

Middle Texas coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Matagorda ship channel
out to 60 nautical miles.
 
Seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3
of the waves...along with occasional height of the average highest
10 percent of the waves. 
 
GMZ200-090515-
1124 AM CDT Thu Jun 8 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS...
Surface high pressure moving east of the region will maintain a 
persistent generally weak daytime onshore flow...strengthening to
moderate overnight. Onshore flow will continue and become slightly
stronger through the weekend as pressures lower over the Southern
Plains. Upper riding forming over the region over the next several
days will maintain generally dry conditions...very low chances for
an isolated early day shower or storm.

$$

GMZ235-090515-
Bays and Waterways from Port Aransas to Port O'Connor-
1124 AM CDT Thu Jun 8 2017

.REST OF TODAY...East wind up to 5 knots becoming southeast in
the afternoon. Bays smooth. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. 
.FRIDAY...Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly
choppy to occasionally choppy. 
.SATURDAY...Southeast wind around 10 knots. Bays slightly choppy.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly
choppy to occasionally choppy. 
.SUNDAY...Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to
occasionally choppy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly
choppy to occasionally choppy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. 
.MONDAY...Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to
occasionally choppy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Southeast wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy. A
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. 

$$FIRE WEATHER

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for South Central Texas
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
644 AM CDT Thu Jun 8 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Humidities will increase today as southerly low level winds
return. There could be a few areas that receive a wetting rain,
with the Hill Country having the best chance. Isolated to
scattered storms will be more common over Northwest Texas, and
they will be weakening as the move south toward South Central
Texas. Rain chances decrease again over the weekend, but
humidities will continue to gradually climb each day. Sunday
through Tuesday, there could be isolated to scattered showers and
storms mainly along and east of I-35. Rain chances decrease again
by Tuesday night with hot and humid days expected in the middle to
latter part of next week.

Lavaca-
Including the cities of Karnes City, Cuero, and Halletsville
644 AM CDT Thu Jun 8 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri          

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy        
Chance precip (%)     10           10           10           
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         tstms        
Temp (24h trend)      92 (-1)      69 (-1)      91           
RH % (24h trend)      37 (+8)      92 (-8)      41           
20ftWnd-AM(MPH)       NE  5                     S  8         
20ftWnd-PM(MPH)       E  5         SE  6        SE  9        
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    7719                      5659         
Transport wnd (MPH)   NE  5                     SE 13        
CWR                   0            0            0            
LAL                   1            1            2            
Haines Index          3            3            3            

Remarks...None.