A few thunderstorms will be possible across parts of Southeast Texas this afternoon through early evening, with widespread rain and the potential for severe thunderstorms returning to the forecast this weekend. Elevated tides may lead to enhanced rip current risks or minor coastal flooding along Gulf facing beaches this weekend.
A cold front will move from northwest to southeast across the region this afternoon and evening, with thunderstorms developing along the cold front before it completely exits the region after 7 PM. A few thunderstorms along this line may be strong to severe, with best chances for severe thunderstorms east of a Madisonville to Huntsville to Winnie line.
How far south thunderstorms will develop today along the cold front will be impacted by how stable the atmosphere is when the front arrives. If it is less stable than current data indicates, storms may form farther south and west in Southeast Texas than currently anticipated. If it is more stable, then thunderstorm development may be limited or not occur in Southeast Texas.
Breezy to windy conditions are expected across Southeast Texas during the day Friday and Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. Elevated winds ahead of this front will result in increasing tide levels on Friday and Saturday, resulting in enhanced rip current risks and/or minor coastal flooding along Gulf facing beaches. Showers and thunderstorms are again expected to develop along the cold front as it moves across the region Saturday night and Sunday morning. Some thunderstorms may be strong to severe and capable of locally heavy rainfall. Based on current data, the overall speed of the cold front is expected to prevent a widespread flooding threat.
- NWS Houston/Galveston Webpage: www.weather.gov/houston
- Hourly Forecasts (Click Your Location): https://forecast.weather.gov/
- West Gulf River Forecast Center Webpage: www.weather.gov/wgrfc
- AHPS Webpage: https://water.weather.gov/
Melissa Huffman & Charles Roeseler