If you happen to look at the SPC day 3 severe weather outlook, you will notice a large portion of SE Texas under a slight risk for severe weather. Based on new forecast data, here are some of our thoughts on the severe weather potential.

Bottom Line: Severe weather threat possible but may be north of Houston, from a Brenham to Cleveland line northward. Main threats: damaging straight line winds, tornadoes. Minor threat for hail. Flood potential looks low since storms will be moving quickly.

Timing: 12-3PM for areas from College Station to Columbus. 3PM-7PM for areas between Crockett and Houston.

What kind of storms? Likely a squall line which will be more intense/severe north of Houston but still possible for a weaker portion of the line to extend southward towards the coastal counties.

Scott Overpeck
NWS Houston/Galveston