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TTR Weather Update for Calhoun, Goliad, and Victoria County, Victoria Crossroads Area, Brush Country, and the Coastal Bend,

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…Threat For Severe Weather Exists Saturday Night & Sunday…


The Storm Prediction Center has placed the eastern half of South Texas under a risk of severe weather for the second half of the weekend.
Overall, this is not a clear-cut situation and certainty in storm development is not currently high. The graphical map (below) of the severe weather

threat is likely to change some between now and Sunday morning, with the current map highlighting a reasonable worst-case scenario.

Here is our latest forecast:

Saturday Night:

  • Few showers may develop across the Coastal Plains, mainly after midnight.
    • If any of the showers manage to develop into thunderstorms, they may become strong to severe.
  • Additional isolated thunderstorms may develop by late in the night near the Rio Grande.
    • Any of these storms will also have the potential to become strong to severe.


  • The best chances of thunderstorms will be in the morning and across the Victoria area and N Coastal Bend.
  • Farther south and west across the Coastal Plains and Brush Country, isolated thunderstorms may develop.
  • Any storms that develop across the region Sunday morning will have the potential to become strong to severe.
  • The storm threat should greatly diminish by midday/afternoon, although an isolated storm threat will persist across the N Coastal Bend/Victoria into the afternoon.

Potential South Texas Impacts:

Tornadoes:  Possible across primarily the Coastal Plains to Victoria area.

  Gusts up to 70 mph possible with severe storms.
Hail:  Large hail likely if severe storms develop. Golf-ball size or larger not out of the question.
Rainfall:  Any storms that develop should be relatively fast moving and rainfall amounts should average less than an inch.


Additional Information Resources:

NWS Corpus Christi Webpagewww.weather.gov/corpuschristi 
Storm Prediction Centerwww.spc.noaa.gov/
Online Severe Weather Reportinghttps://www.srh.noaa.gov/StormReport/SubmitReport.php?site=crp

Rob Hart
NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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