A strong storm system is expected to affect the area on Wednesday. Here are some details:
Where: All of Southeast Texas
When: Western counties starting between 8:00 AM and 12 Noon and then spreading eastward. The storms should exit out of the area between 8:00 PM and 10:00 PM.
Primary Hazards: Damaging winds, large hail, locally heavy rainfall, and tornadoes
…Severe Storms Possible This Evening through Early Wednesday Morning…
Area of Concern:
All of South Central, but primarily near the I-35 corridor west to the Rio Grande.
Threats & Impacts:
Winds: Straight-line wind gusts up to 70 mph.
Hail: Hail up to 2 inches in diameter
Tornadoes: Isolated tornadoes possible.
Rainfall: 1 to 2 inches of rainfall across the Hill Country and Central Texas. 1/10 to 1 inch elsewhere.
Timing and Overview:
A storm system will bring a good chance of showers and storms to the region tonight. Conditions will be favorable for some storms to become severe, with the primary threats being damaging straight-line wind gusts and large hail. A lesser, but non-zero, threat for isolated tornadoes will exist. Some isolated pockets of heavy downpours are possible, however due to the speed of the system significant flash flooding impacts are not anticipated at this time.
The storms are expected to develop across West Texas and the southern Edwards Plateau by early this evening. The storms may organize into a broken line of storms that will move through the Hill Country late this evening, and into the I-35 corridor between midnight and 6 AM Wednesday. The storms will continue east of the I-35 corridor Wednesday morning, however some models indicate a weakening trend during that time.
Confidence:
Moderate to High
Additional Information Resources:
NWS Austin / San Antonio Webpage: https://www.weather.gov/sanantonio
Storm Prediction Center: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Online Severe Weather Reporting: https://www.srh.noaa.gov/StormReport/SubmitReport.php?site=EWX
…Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Wednesday Morning….
Timing and Overview:
Atmospheric conditions may become favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms Wednesday morning, mainly over the northern Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads.
South Texas Impacts:
Tornadoes: Not a primary threat. However, tornadoes cannot be ruled out.
Winds: Damaging straight-line winds of 55 to 60 mph are possible.
Hail: Generally 1 inch in diameter or smaller.
Rainfall: Locally heavy rainfall which may contribute to isolated flooding over low-lying areas.
Additional Information Resources:
NWS Corpus Christi Webpage: www.weather.gov/corpuschristi
Storm Prediction Center: www.spc.noaa.gov/
Online Severe Weather Reporting: https://www.srh.noaa.gov/StormReport/SubmitReport.php?site=crp
Minor changes have been made to the forecast. Adjusted the start time for the western counties a little earlier, and changed the end time for the eastern counties a tad later.
Still forecasting another strong storm system to move into Texas on Wednesday.
Where: All of Southeast Texas
When: Showers and thunderstorms should push into the region around 8 AM over the west and spread to the east, eventually exiting the eastern part of the region between 8 PM and 10 PM.
Primary Hazards: Heavy rain, damaging winds, and tornadoes.
There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday as a large upper-level disturbance moves into the Central United States. The severe weather threat will be generally along and west of I-35 Tuesday night, and along and east of I-35 during the day Wednesday. Large hail and damaging winds will be primary threats. However, this slow moving storm system will also be capable of producing isolated tornadoes and locally heavy downpours of 1 to 3 inches.
Severe thunderstorms will be possible beginning Tuesday evening as a strong upper level system moves across the southern United States. Large hail, damaging winds, and even some tornadoes will be possible. The most favorable conditions for severe weather will be west of Interstate 35. These storms will also be capable of producing heavy rainfall, resulting in some localized flooding.
Our severe weather this week will likely span through Wednesday as well. By daybreak, the threats should be mostly east of I-35. These storms will still carry the threat for large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes, and locally heavy rainfall.
A strong upper level disturbance will bring a good chance of showers and thunderstorms to South Central Texas late Tuesday night and Wednesday. Strong to severe thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall may be possible with these storms. Drier conditions will take over for Thursday into Friday, but another storm system moves into the area over the weekend. Above normal temperatures are expected over the next several days.
Now, here’s your Texas Thunder Radio Weather Forecast from the National Weather Service:
Tonight
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Thursday
Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs around 80.
Thursday Night And Friday
Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.
Saturday Night And Sunday
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.