A slow moving upper level low will once again produce scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across Southeast Texas. A few of the stronger storms could produce locally heavy rain. Soil moisture has increased significantly and if heavy rain develops, much of the rain could run off and cause flooding issues.

There will probably be two periods of showers and thunderstorms today. The first will mainly affect areas near the coast this morning with locally heavy rain affecting Brazoria, Galveston and Chambers counties with a quick 1 to 3 inches of rain.

The second period of precipitation will come this afternoon once temperatures warm into the mid 80’s and the upper low nears the region. Showers and storms will likely redevelop around 2 PM and rapidly expand in coverage. Some of the rain will again be locally heavy. In addition, some of the storms could briefly pulse to severe limits and produce damaging winds. Rainfall totals will average between a half inch and 1.50 inches with locally higher amounts this afternoon.

Hazards: Locally heavy rain

Damaging winds

Brief funnel clouds

Timing; Early this morning, a bit of a break, and then a second round this afternoon/evening.

Confidence: Rain – High

Amounts – Low

Where – Low

Resources

NWS Houston/Galveston Webpage: www.weather.gov/houston
Hourly Forecasts (Click Your Location): https://forecast.weather.gov/gridpoint.php?site=hgx&TypeDefault=graphical
West Gulf River Forecast Center Webpage: www.weather.gov/wgrfc
AHPS Webpage: https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=hgx

Charles Roeseler and Paul Lewis
National Weather Service – Houston/Galveston, TX